Where Are Plus500 Prediction Markets Legal? Complete State-by-State Guide
Plus500 Prediction Markets Legal States 2026
Plus500 Prediction Markets is a real-money prediction market product available through Plus500 Futures, the company's U.S. trading platform. It allows users to trade contracts on the outcomes of real-world events, covering everything from elections and economic reports to cryptocurrency prices and sporting events.
Plus500 introduced prediction markets to its U.S. platform in February 2026, initially focusing on non-sports contracts before expanding into sports event markets in June.
Like other federally regulated prediction markets, Plus500 operates under the U.S. commodities regulatory framework rather than relying on individual state sportsbook licenses.
Where Are Plus500 Prediction Markets Available?
Plus500 Prediction Markets are currently available throughout the entirety of the United States, including Washington, D.C.
Users in every state can access the platform's non-sports event contracts, while sports trading is restricted to 31 states plus D.C.
To use Plus500 Prediction Markets, you must be at least 18 years old, complete the required account and identity verification process, and meet the platform's eligibility requirements.
What Can You Trade on Plus500 Prediction Markets?
Plus500 covers a much wider range of events than traditional sportsbooks. Alongside sporting outcomes, you can trade predictions about economic announcements, elections, cryptocurrency prices and other real-world developments.
That variety opens up different ways to approach trading. A sports contract might reward your knowledge of a team's form and injuries, while an economic market requires you to assess upcoming data releases and what the market has already priced in.
Plus500's main prediction market categories include:
- Sports: Game results, player performances, championships and other sporting outcomes.
- Politics and Elections: Elections, political appointments and other government-related events.
- Economics and Financials: Inflation, unemployment, interest rates and financial-market outcomes.
- Crypto: Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency price milestones.
- Weather and Climate: Temperatures, hurricanes and other weather-related events.
- Entertainment and Culture: Music, television, celebrities and cultural events.
- Companies and Technology: Corporate developments, technology milestones and business announcements.
- Mentions: Whether particular words or phrases will be used in speeches, interviews or public statements.
These categories don't represent a fixed menu of contracts. Markets are added, expire and settle as events unfold, so the trading opportunities available on any given day will change.
Sports is currently the only major category subject to state-level availability restrictions on Plus500.
Which Plus500 Prediction Markets Are Available in My State?
Plus500 operates nationwide, but the markets you can trade aren't identical everywhere.
In 31 states plus D.C., sports contracts are available alongside the platform's full range of non-sports markets.
In the remaining 19 states, sports contracts are unavailable but all of Plus500's non-sports prediction markets remain accessible, allowing you to trade on elections, economic reports, cryptocurrency prices and other non-sports events.
For sports bettors in particular, it's worth checking the state breakdown below before assuming that access to Plus500 also means access to its sports markets.
States Where Plus500 Offers Sports Prediction Markets
Plus500 currently offers sports prediction markets in 31 states plus Washington, D.C.
The complete list is:
Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Mississippi, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Jersey, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wyoming and Washington, D.C.
Users physically located in these jurisdictions can trade sports event contracts alongside the platform's other prediction markets.
Plus500's sports offering includes contracts covering major U.S. leagues such as the NFL, NBA and MLB. If you normally bet moneylines or championship futures, much of the subject matter will feel familiar: whether a team wins tonight, makes a deep playoff run or takes home the title.
It's important to note that sports markets access depends on your physical location when trading, not where you live. For example, someone accessing Plus500 from California can trade sports event contracts, but that same person would be restricted to non-sports markets if he travels to New York.
Why Does Sports Availability Differ by State?
Take a look at the states on either side of this divide. California and Texas, where licensed online sportsbooks aren't operating, both have access to Plus500's sports contracts. Meanwhile, New York and Ohio have well-established, regulated sportsbook markets, but Plus500 doesn't offer sports contracts in either state.
That tells you quite a bit about the regulatory situation surrounding prediction markets. Plus500 gives customers access to event contracts listed on federally regulated exchanges, while some state gambling regulators argue that sports-result contracts should be treated as wagering under their own licensing rules.
In practice, exchanges and brokers have to decide where they're prepared to offer those contracts while the jurisdictional disputes play out. Removing sports trading from a state doesn't necessarily require them to shut off the rest of their prediction market offering.
Plus500 Prediction Markets by State
In many states, DraftKings Predictions is fully available - just without sports contracts. These include:
Colorado (CO), Delaware (DE), Indiana (IN), Kansas (KS), Kentucky (KY), Louisiana (LA), Maryland (MD), Massachusetts (MA), Michigan (MI), Mississippi (MS), Missouri (MO), New Jersey (NJ), New York (NY), North Carolina (NC), Oregon (OR), Vermont (VT), Virginia (VA), West Virginia (WV), Wisconsin (WI), Wyoming (WY).
In these states, sports betting already exists through licensed sportsbooks. DraftKings doesn’t need prediction markets to handle sports action - it already has DraftKings Sportsbook doing that job.
Instead, DraftKings Predictions focuses on everything outside sports, including:
- Economic indicators
- Financial and macroeconomic events
- Culture and entertainment markets (Coming Soon)
- Political outcomes (Coming Soon)
If you live in one of these states, DraftKings Predictions isn’t replacing sportsbook betting - it’s complementing it.
Plus500 Prediction Markets by State
The table below shows the complete availability breakdown for all 50 states and Washington, D.C.
| Market Type | States Available |
|---|---|
| All Markets | AL, AK, AR, CA, CO, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, KS, LA, ME, MS, NE, NH, NJ, NC, ND, OK, OR, PA, SC, SD, TX, VT, VA, WV, WY, DC |
| Non-Sports Markets Only | AZ, CT, IA, KY, MD, MA, MI, MN, MO, MT, NV, NM, NY, OH, RI, TN, UT, WA, WI |
How Do Plus500 Prediction Markets Work?
Plus500 Prediction Markets use Yes/No event contracts, allowing traders to take positions on whether a specific real-world outcome will happen.
Inside Plus500 Futures, you select a market and choose Yes if you think the outcome will happen, or No if you think it won't.
Prices are quoted in cents. A Yes contract trading at 40 cents, for example, suggests the market is pricing that outcome at roughly a 40% probability. That price comes from trading activity and can change as other participants react to new information.
When the event is resolved, the winning side settles at $1 per contract while the losing side settles at $0. If you bought a Yes contract for 40 cents and the outcome happens, your gross profit is 60 cents before fees. If the outcome doesn't happen, you lose the 40 cents you paid.
Instead of adding juice to their prices, Plus500 charges a commission of $0.01 per contract per side, with an additional $0.01 exchange fee.
You also don't necessarily have to hold a position until settlement. If the market moves in your favor, you may be able to sell your contracts at a profit before the outcome is decided. Equally, you can close a losing position early rather than risk the remaining value. Whether you can exit at a particular price depends on available buyers and sellers.
Plus500 Prediction Markets for Sports Bettors
If you're used to sportsbooks, the biggest adjustment with Plus500 is how much the market price matters after you've opened a position.
At a sportsbook, you normally place your bet at fixed odds and wait for the result. You might get a cashout offer, but the book decides whether to offer one and what it's worth.
With prediction markets, your position has a changing market value. If you buy contracts on an outcome and the market moves in your favor, you may be able to sell before the event finishes.
But liquidity is important. A displayed price doesn't guarantee you'll find a buyer willing to take your entire position at that number. And those small per-contract fees can add up when you're trading larger quantities.
My advice is to look at the actual execution price and fees before comparing a Plus500 contract with sportsbook odds. A seemingly better price doesn't always mean a better deal.
Learn More About Prediction Markets
Can I Win Real Money on Plus500 Prediction Markets?
Yes. Plus500 Prediction Markets let you trade real money and withdraw your profits in U.S. dollars. You fund your Plus500 Futures account with cash, use that balance to buy event contracts, and can make money by correctly predicting outcomes or selling contracts when their market value increases.
Any profit you realize is credited to your trading account, minus applicable fees. Unlike an open position showing a potential profit, money earned from a completed trade or settled contract is yours to withdraw once it meets the platform's withdrawal requirements.
Importantly, real-money trading is available in all 50 states and D.C. Users in states without Plus500 sports contracts can still earn and withdraw real money from non-sports predictions, just as users in sports-enabled states can.
Withdrawals are managed through the Plus500 Futures Funds Management section. Two conditions are worth understanding before moving money out:
- Withdrawal fees: Plus500 waives processing fees on your first withdrawal each calendar month. Additional withdrawals carry a 1.75% processing fee, subject to a $1 minimum and $150 maximum.
- Deposit clearance: Newly deposited funds can take up to three business days to clear for withdrawal, even when those funds are already available for trading.
As with any real-money trading platform, the price you pay, the fees you incur and the price at which you eventually exit a position all determine how much money you actually make.
Why Are Plus500 Prediction Markets Legal?
When I'm asked why Plus500 can operate prediction markets in states without licensed online sportsbooks, I start with the regulatory structure behind the product.
Plus500US Financial Services LLC is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as a Futures Commission Merchant and is a member of the National Futures Association. Its prediction market customers access event contracts offered through federally regulated derivatives exchanges.
Under this arrangement, Plus500 provides access to financial event contracts governed by federal commodities regulation. It does not need to operate as a conventional sportsbook licensed separately by every state where its prediction markets are available.
There is still an ongoing legal disagreement over sports event contracts. Several state gambling regulators argue that certain sports-related contracts fall within their authority, while prediction market operators maintain that federally regulated exchange contracts are governed by federal law.
That helps explain why Plus500's non-sports markets are available nationwide while its sports contracts have a narrower geographic footprint. Federal regulation provides the basis for the product, but it doesn't guarantee that every contract category will be offered in every state.
Plus500 Prediction Markets Legal States FAQ
Plus500 Prediction Markets are available in all 50 U.S. states and Washington, D.C.
Sports event contracts are available in 31 states plus D.C., while the remaining 19 states have access to non-sports markets only.
Yes. Plus500 Prediction Markets is a legitimate real-money event-contract product available through Plus500 Futures.
Plus500US Financial Services LLC is a CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant, and the event contracts offered through its platform are traded on federally regulated exchanges.
Yes. Plus500 Prediction Markets are available in California, including both sports and non-sports event contracts.
California does not have statewide licensed online sportsbooks, but Plus500 offers sports event contracts there through the federal prediction market framework.
Yes. Texas is one of the states where Plus500 offers sports and non-sports prediction markets.
Eligible users can trade real-money sports contracts despite the absence of licensed online sportsbooks in Texas.
No. Plus500 Prediction Markets are available in New York, but sports event contracts are restricted.
Users can still access non-sports prediction markets covering politics, economics, crypto and other supported categories.
Yes. Plus500 Prediction Markets are available in Ohio, but only for non-sports event contracts.
Sports prediction markets are not currently offered through Plus500 to users physically located in Ohio.
Yes. Plus500 Prediction Markets are available in Nevada for non-sports contracts.
Sports event contracts are restricted, but users can still access the platform's supported non-sports markets.
Yes. Plus500 Prediction Markets remain available in Michigan for non-sports event trading.
Sports event contracts are not currently available in the state.
Yes. Plus500 Prediction Markets are available in Washington for non-sports event contracts.
Washington users cannot currently trade sports prediction markets through Plus500, but the platform's non-sports offering remains accessible.
